I have previously posted a blog on the topic of weather predicting in the 1800s, and in this series about the impact of outer space I return to the perspective of we earthlings.
|Photo Credit: Lyn Fenwck|
Isaac was following the advice of Henry Ward Beecher, a famous minister and the brother of Harriet Beecher Stow. A newspaper clipping by Beecher, titled "Keeping a Diary," was glued on the inside front cover page of Isaac's journal. Beecher concluded his article with these words: "One may trace, from day to day, the mere facts of his history, the proceedings of the farm, or the books read, visits made or received, the events in society, the conversations with men of mark, the facts of the weather, the seasons, the aspects of nature, and in short, a journal of knowledge, in distinction from feeling..." Isaac Werner followed that advice exactly, which is what made him an excellent reporter of his time and location.
|Photo credit: Lyn Fenwick|
For example, precipitation is extremely localized. Recently, we received no rain at our home, and we were quite surprised when we found large mud holes on the road only a quarter-mile south of our house the next morning. I also remember driving through heavy rain and suddenly driving out of the rain onto dry pavement. I understand that rain must stop somewhere, but the the abruptness of driving out of rain, rather than simply the rain gradually becoming less heavy, (or as my father used to say, "letting up,") surprised me.
|Photo Credit: Lyn Fenwick|
Skywarn is an official weather spotter training program run by the National Weather Service to teach the basics of spotting severe and hazardous weather and properly reporting that weather back to the NWA.
Some amateurs want to learn how to do their own forecasting, and that can be a fun hobby. However, professionals warn that there are many events involved that are not intuitive about how air, water, and solar radiation interact and evolve to create weather conditions. While amateurs may enjoy forecasting for their own pleasure, they should not encourage others to rely on their predictions.